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TodaysPrediction

Kerry vs Cork City prediction

Kerry vs Cork City prediction for the First Division on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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KerryNo recent gamesCork CityNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 1-1
Mounthawk Park, Tralee

Match events

KerryCork City
  1. 24'Goal: R. Keating
  2. Goal: V. Borden29'

HT 1-1

  1. Yellow card: N. Brookwell64'
  2. Substitution: C. BrosnanOff: R. Keane70'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Kerry49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Cork City26%
Fair odds 3.85

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.21
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.9%Under21.1%
2.5 goalsOver55.9%Under44.1%
3.5 goalsOver33.5%Under66.5%
4.5 goalsOver17.1%Under82.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

KerryCork City
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
65%Overall35%

Last matches

Newest first
Kerry0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Cork City0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

First Division table

First Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1UCD1+33
2Finn Harps1+23
3Treaty United1+23
4Longford Town1+13
5Cork City101
6Kerry101
7Athlone Town1-10
8Bray Wanderers1-20
9Cobh Ramblers1-20
10Wexford1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKerryCork City
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Kerry host Cork City in the First Division (Regular Season - 36) at Mounthawk Park, Tralee, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Kerry slight favourites, giving Kerry a 49% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 26% for Cork City. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland First Division
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Mounthawk Park, Tralee

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Kerry vs Cork City?

Kerry vs Cork City kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Kerry vs Cork City in?

The match is in the Ireland First Division.

Where are Kerry and Cork City in the table?

Kerry are 6th and Cork City are 5th in the First Division.

Who will win Kerry vs Cork City?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Kerry 49%, draw 25%, Cork City 26%.

Will both teams score in Kerry vs Cork City?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kerry vs Cork City?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More First Division on Fri 16 Oct

FTWexford 2-5 UCDX2 ✓FTTreaty United 2-0 Cobh RamblersX2 ✗FTLongford Town 1-0 Athlone TownOver 1.5 ✗FTFinn Harps 2-0 Bray WanderersOver 2.5 ✗

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