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Junior vs Deportivo Pereira prediction

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira prediction for the Primera A on 14 Oct 2026: Junior to win (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday14October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Primera A · Clausura - 4
JuniorNo recent gamesDeportivo PereiraNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla

Match events

JuniorDeportivo Pereira
  1. Goal: Jermein PenaAssist: Kevin Pérez5'
  2. 25'Yellow card: Manuel Alejandro Diaz HernandezFoul
  3. Yellow card: Jermein PenaFoul36'
  4. VAR: Kevin PérezPenalty confirmedVAR44'
  5. 44'Yellow card: Nicolás RengifoFoul
  6. Missed penalty: Luis Muriel45'
  7. 45'Substitution: Sebastian AcostaOff: Anderson Plata
  8. 45'Substitution: Nicolás RengifoOff: Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez
  9. 45'Substitution: Manuel Alejandro Diaz HernandezOff: Ederson Moreno

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Daniel SocarrasFoul47'
  2. 49'VARVAR: Ederson MorenoRed card cancelled
  3. 49'Yellow card: Ederson MorenoFoul
  4. 58'Goal: Anderson PlataAssist: Ederson Moreno
  5. Substitution: Luis MurielOff: Francisco Fydriszewski62'
  6. Substitution: Bryan CastrillónOff: Teófilo Gutiérrez62'
  7. Substitution: Edwin HerreraOff: Andrés Shmalbach69'
  8. Substitution: Guillermo PaivaOff: Cristian Barrios69'
  9. 69'Substitution: Luis Jeiner MorenoOff: Miguel Ángel Aguirre
  10. Substitution: Kevin PérezOff: Yimmi Chará79'
  11. 90'Substitution: Miguel PalaciosOff: Tobías Bovone

Our verdict

1 ✗

Junior to win

Bet365 1.33

71%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Junior71%
Fair odds 1.41
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Deportivo Pereira11%
Fair odds 9.09

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1.33Expected goals (xG)0.21
  • 10Total shots5
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 5Shots inside the box1
  • 9Corners3
  • 1Offsides0
  • 8Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves2
  • 381Passes400
  • 320Accurate passes324

Line-ups

Junior

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 30J. MartínezG
  2. 34Daniel SocarrasD
  3. 98J. PeñaD
  4. 5D. RiveraD
  5. 3E. HerreraD
  6. 88B. CastrillónM
  7. 22Jesús RivasM
  8. 80F. ÁngelM
  9. 18K. PérezM
  10. 10L. MurielF
  11. 9G. PaivaF

Substitutes

  1. 38Andrés ShmalbachM
  2. 28G. CelisM
  3. 77C. BarriosF
  4. 12J. AcostaG
  5. 8Y. CharáM
  6. 19F. FydriszewskiF
  7. 29T. GutiérrezF
  8. 16Carlos PérezD
  9. 14J. RíosM

Coach: S. Viera

Deportivo Pereira

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Yimy GómezG
  2. 20J. MonroyD
  3. 15S. AguilarD
  4. 3N. RengifoD
  5. 25F. DelgadoD
  6. 11J. LargachaM
  7. 21W. PachecoM
  8. 37L. MorenoM
  9. 24M. PalaciosM
  10. 10S. AcostaF
  11. 29M. DiazF

Substitutes

  1. 12J. BetancourthG
  2. 23T. BovoneD
  3. 26J. MontoyaM
  4. 27J. MoralesF
  5. 16Eber MorenoD
  6. 14Ederson MorenoM
  7. 7Á. PlataF
  8. 19M. AguirreM
  9. 2S. UrreaD

Coach: A. Márquez

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.29 – 0.80
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.4%Under18.6%
2.5 goalsOver59.7%Under40.3%
3.5 goalsOver37.3%Under62.7%
4.5 goalsOver20.0%Under80.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

JuniorDeportivo Pereira
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
87%Overall13%

Last matches

Newest first
Junior0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Deportivo Pereira0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Primera A table

Primera A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Deportivo Pereira2+24
2Junior101
3Chico1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatJuniorDeportivo Pereira
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Junior host Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A (Clausura - 4) at Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla, with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Junior clear favourites, giving Junior a 71% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 11% for Deportivo Pereira. Our tip is: Junior to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Colombia Primera A
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Junior vs Deportivo Pereira in?

The match is in the Colombia Primera A.

Where are Junior and Deportivo Pereira in the table?

Junior are 2nd and Deportivo Pereira are 1st in the Primera A.

Who will win Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Our prediction is Junior to win. Win probabilities: Junior 71%, draw 18%, Deportivo Pereira 11%.

Will both teams score in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

All football predictions for today