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Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction

Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 17 Oct 2026: Independ. Rivadavia or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Independ. RivadaviaNo recent gamesTigreNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-1
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza

Match events

Independ. RivadaviaTigre
  1. Goal: Matías FernándezAssist: Juan Elordi20'
  2. 26'Goal: Alan BarrionuevoAssist: Jabes Saralegui
  3. 27'Yellow card: Ignacio PeluffoFoul
  4. 45'Substitution: Ignacio PeluffoOff: Valentín Moreno

HT 1-1

  1. Goal: Jose Ignacio Florentin52'
  2. Yellow card: Iván VillalbaFoul59'
  3. 62'Substitution: Santiago GonzalezOff: Manuel Fernández
  4. 62'Substitution: Ignacio RussoOff: Mauro Méndez
  5. 62'Yellow card: Manuel FernándezFoul
  6. Substitution: Matías FernándezOff: Leonel Bucca67'
  7. Substitution: Luis SequeiraOff: Tomas Bottari68'
  8. 68'Yellow card: Joaquín LasoFoul
  9. Substitution: Fabrizio Sartori PrietoOff: Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta74'
  10. Substitution: Matías RealiOff: Victorio Ramis74'
  11. 74'Substitution: Joaquín LasoOff: Juan Villalba
  12. 79'Substitution: Bruno Javier Leyes SosaOff: Ian Subiabre
  13. Substitution: Luis Ángel Díaz CuestaOff: Kevin Vázquez81'
  14. Yellow card: Juan ElordiFoul87'
  15. 90+2'Goal: Manuel FernándezAssist: Federico Alvarez

Our verdict

1X ✓

Independ. Rivadavia or draw

Bet365 1.20

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Independ. Rivadavia48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Tigre23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1.10Expected goals (xG)1.13
  • 11Total shots11
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 6Shots inside the box6
  • 2Corners7
  • 8Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves0
  • 300Passes394
  • 205Accurate passes311

Line-ups

Independ. Rivadavia

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 30Nicolás BolcatoG
  2. 2L. CostaD
  3. 42S. StuderD
  4. 40I. VillalbaD
  5. 25J. FlorentínM
  6. 14L. GómezM
  7. 80M. RealiM
  8. 77L. SequeiraM
  9. 3J. ElordiM
  10. 43F. SartoriF
  11. 10M. FernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 32K. VázquezM
  2. 11G. RíosM
  3. 7V. RamisF
  4. 13A. OsellaD
  5. 34S. MoreyraM
  6. 21Emmanuel GómezG
  7. 28A. VigoD
  8. 23L. DíazF
  9. 27D. CregoM
  10. 8L. BuccaM
  11. 5T. BottariM
  12. 19R. AtencioF

Coach: A. Berti

Tigre

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 12F. ZenobioG
  2. 8M. GarayD
  3. 2J. LasoD
  4. 20A. BarrionuevoD
  5. 24F. ÁlvarezD
  6. 50I. PeluffoM
  7. 27S. GonzálezM
  8. 5B. LeyesM
  9. 10J. SaraleguiM
  10. 30J. DóminaF
  11. 29I. RussoF

Substitutes

  1. 26L. MoralesG
  2. 28P. MartínezM
  3. 18M. FernándezF
  4. 16N. DubersarskyM
  5. 4V. MorenoD
  6. 33M. MéndezF
  7. 19A. OviedoF
  8. 23G. RequenaD
  9. 11T. SerragoM
  10. 17G. SotoD
  11. 25Ian Martin SubiabreF
  12. 32J. VillalbaD

Coach: D. Dabove

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.41 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver90.1%Under9.9%
1.5 goalsOver67.1%Under32.9%
2.5 goalsOver40.7%Under59.3%
3.5 goalsOver20.3%Under79.7%
4.5 goalsOver8.5%Under91.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Independ. RivadaviaTigre
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Independ. Rivadavia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Tigre0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3115
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2614
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3114
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatIndepend. RivadaviaTigre
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Independ. Rivadavia host Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 21:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Independ. Rivadavia slight favourites, giving Independ. Rivadavia a 48% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 23% for Tigre. Our tip is: Independ. Rivadavia or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 21:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 21:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre in the table?

Independ. Rivadavia are 1st and Tigre are 10th in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Our prediction is Independ. Rivadavia or draw. Win probabilities: Independ. Rivadavia 48%, draw 29%, Tigre 23%.

Will both teams score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

We estimate a 40% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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