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TodaysPrediction

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction for the Challenge League on 24 Oct 2026: FC Aarau or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Aarau

Match events

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
  1. Goal: H. KoideAssist: B. Senyurt2'
  2. 26'Yellow card: L. EssienaFoul
  3. Yellow card: B. SenyurtFoul31'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: B. SenyurtOff: L. Obexer46'
  2. 46'Substitution: T. EscorzaOff: O. Correia
  3. Substitution: H. KoideOff: A. Beka Beka54'
  4. Yellow card: I. AliuHandling62'
  5. 65'Goal: M. Holcbecher
  6. 68'Yellow card: Ricardo AlvesFoul
  7. Substitution: I. AliuOff: K. Ndau75'
  8. 80'Substitution: M. HolcbecherOff: M. El Jaouhari
  9. 80'Substitution: S. BossiwaOff: T. Nunez
  10. 82'Goal: O. CorreiaAssist: Ricardo Alves
  11. Substitution: M. GuindoOff: E. Jordan85'
  12. Substitution: M. DickenmannOff: A. Bizzarri85'
  13. 90'Substitution: Ricardo AlvesOff: G. Zrankeon

Our verdict

1X ✗

FC Aarau or draw

Bet365 1.22

77%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · FC Aarau54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Étoile Carouge23%
Fair odds 4.35

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver96.0%Under4.0%
1.5 goalsOver83.1%Under16.9%
2.5 goalsOver62.4%Under37.6%
3.5 goalsOver40.2%Under59.8%
4.5 goalsOver22.3%Under77.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
FC Aarau0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Étoile Carouge0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Challenge League table

Challenge League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Winterthur1+43
2Étoile Carouge1+13
3FC WIL 1900101
4Rapperswil101
5FC Aarau1-10
6Stade Nyonnais1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

FC Aarau host Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League (Regular Season - 11) at Aarau, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Aarau favourites, giving FC Aarau a 54% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 23% for Étoile Carouge. Our tip is: FC Aarau or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Switzerland Challenge League
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Aarau

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge in?

The match is in the Switzerland Challenge League.

Where are FC Aarau and Étoile Carouge in the table?

FC Aarau are 5th and Étoile Carouge are 2nd in the Challenge League.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Our prediction is FC Aarau or draw. Win probabilities: FC Aarau 54%, draw 23%, Étoile Carouge 23%.

Will both teams score in FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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