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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus prediction for the Serie B on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 8
EmpoliNo recent gamesVicenza VirtusNo recent games
0 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 0-1
Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Match events

EmpoliVicenza Virtus
  1. 20'Goal: Nicola RautiAssist: Andrea Papetti

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Joseph CeesayOff: Steven Shpendi50'
  2. Red card: Marco Curto55'
  3. VAR: Cristian CauzGoal cancelledVAR62'
  4. 69'Yellow card: Riccardo MarchizzaFoul
  5. Substitution: Edoardo SaporitiOff: Filippo Di Stefano69'
  6. Substitution: Filippo BandinelliOff: Luca Belardinelli69'
  7. Substitution: Duccio Degli InnocentiOff: Lapo Deli70'
  8. Yellow card: Lapo DeliFoul73'
  9. 74'Substitution: Nicola RautiOff: Silvio Merkaj
  10. 74'Substitution: Claudio MorraOff: Filippo Alessio
  11. 78'Substitution: Riccardo MarchizzaOff: Thomas Sandon
  12. 80'Yellow card: L. CaferriFoul
  13. Substitution: Luca MagninoOff: Matteo Egan82'
  14. 83'Substitution: Mattia ValotiOff: Loris Zonta
  15. 85'Goal: Giulio PellizzariAssist: Loris Zonta

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Empoli42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Vicenza Virtus31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 0.57Expected goals (xG)2.01
  • 13Total shots19
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target10
  • 4Blocked shots6
  • 8Shots inside the box14
  • 4Corners4
  • 4Offsides0
  • 12Fouls23
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 378Passes350
  • 296Accurate passes275

Line-ups

Empoli

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 12J. SeghettiG
  2. 8L. MagninoD
  3. 25M. CurtoD
  4. 33C. CauzD
  5. 98K. ZedadkaM
  6. 23F. BandinelliM
  7. 5D. Degli InnocentiM
  8. 10E. SaporitiM
  9. 91N. CorradoM
  10. 77B. PopovF
  11. 15J. CeesayF

Substitutes

  1. 11S. ShpendiF
  2. 6S. RomagnoliD
  3. 1S. PerisanG
  4. 57L. BelardinelliM
  5. 36D. BembnistaD
  6. 39E. BiondiniM
  7. 44L. DeliM
  8. 20F. DistefanoF
  9. 35M. EganD
  10. 13E. FilippisG
  11. 28G. IndragoliD

Coach: M. Andreoletti

Vicenza Virtus

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 16R. GagnoG
  2. 66A. PapettiD
  3. 23N. BrighentiD
  4. 5R. MarchizzaD
  5. 28L. CaferriM
  6. 26G. PellizzariM
  7. 8A. BellemoM
  8. 10M. ValotiM
  9. 21T. CorazzaM
  10. 7N. RautiF
  11. 9C. MorraF

Substitutes

  1. 24Filippo AlessioF
  2. 4M. CarraroM
  3. 32F. CostaD
  4. 6M. LeverbeD
  5. 33S. MerkajF
  6. 11G. MonciniF
  7. 99A. PietrelliM
  8. 27T. SandonD
  9. 44R. TalaricoM
  10. 30M. VescoviD
  11. 29L. ZontaM
  12. 1F. BagheriaG

Coach: F. Gallo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.1%Under24.9%
2.5 goalsOver50.6%Under49.4%
3.5 goalsOver28.6%Under71.4%
4.5 goalsOver13.7%Under86.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EmpoliVicenza Virtus
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Empoli0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Vicenza Virtus0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena9+819
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova9+417
5Benevento9+615
6Pisa9+515
7Padova9-113
8Sudtirol9+113
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
11Cesena9-311
12Virtus Entella9+110
13Carrarese9-110
14Arezzo9-1010
15Cremonese9-39
16Vicenza Virtus9-59
17Juve Stabia908
18Empoli9-77
19Sampdoria9-105
20Catanzaro9-115
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. ShpendiCesena97
2D. JohnsenPalermo96
3A. BelottiModena66
4D. MosqueraHellas Verona56
5F. RuoccoMantova95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEmpoliVicenza Virtus
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Empoli host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8) at Carlo Castellani, Empoli, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Empoli slight favourites, giving Empoli a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for Vicenza Virtus. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie B
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Carlo Castellani, Empoli

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus in?

The match is in the Italy Serie B.

Where are Empoli and Vicenza Virtus in the table?

Empoli are 18th and Vicenza Virtus are 16th in the Serie B.

Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Empoli 42%, draw 27%, Vicenza Virtus 31%.

Will both teams score in Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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