Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal prediction

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal prediction for the Primera División on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Primera División · Clausura - 13
CuscoSporting CristalNo recent games
3 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 2-0
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Match events

CuscoSporting Cristal
  1. Goal: Facundo CallejoAssist: Lucas Colitto9'
  2. Yellow card: José ZevallosFoul32'
  3. Goal: Facundo Callejo42'
  4. VAR: Facundo CallejoGoal confirmedVAR43'
  5. 45'Substitution: Michael HoyosOff: Hernán Barcos
  6. 45'Substitution: Yoshimar YotúnOff: Martín Távara

HT 2-0

  1. Yellow card: Ivan ColmanFoul49'
  2. 62'Substitution: Maxloren CastroOff: Luis Abram
  3. Substitution: José ZevallosOff: Marlon Ruidías62'
  4. 71'Substitution: CristianoOff: Catriel Cabellos
  5. 71'Substitution: Santiago GonzálezOff: Irven Avila
  6. Substitution: Lucas ColittoOff: Nicolás Silva72'
  7. Goal: Aldair FuentesAssist: Ivan Colman74'
  8. Yellow card: Jean MontanoFoul81'
  9. Substitution: Ivan ColmanOff: Carlos Diez84'
  10. Substitution: José ManzanedaOff: Joel Herrera86'
  11. 87'Goal: Martín Távara

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Cusco49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Sporting Cristal26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 2.15Expected goals (xG)0.90
  • 23Total shots15
  • 10Shots on target3
  • 10Shots off target9
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 13Shots inside the box8
  • 2Corners13
  • 3Offsides3
  • 13Fouls6
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves7
  • 402Passes407
  • 361Accurate passes346

Line-ups

Cusco

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 28P. DíazG
  2. 21J. ZevallosD
  3. 8A. FuentesD
  4. 2C. GamarraD
  5. 3R. LagosD
  6. 55J. MontañoM
  7. 22L. ColittoM
  8. 88D. SotoM
  9. 10I. ColmanM
  10. 7J. ManzanedaM
  11. 9F. CallejoF

Substitutes

  1. 6Á. AmpueroD
  2. 14C. DiezM
  3. 77J. HerreraM
  4. 24M. RuidíasD
  5. 26N. SilvaF
  6. 99Miguel SilveiraM
  7. 11J. TévezF
  8. 16O. ValenzuelaM
  9. 13A. VidalG

Coach: Javier Rabanal

Sporting Cristal

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1D. EnríquezG
  2. 8L. SosaD
  3. 20M. AraujoD
  4. 5R. LutigerD
  5. 90Cris SilvaD
  6. 6A. ÁlvarezM
  7. 19Y. YotúnM
  8. 7S. GonzálezM
  9. 16L. IbericoM
  10. 23M. CastroM
  11. 22M. HoyosF

Substitutes

  1. 25G. TávaraM
  2. 27GabrielM
  3. 32L. DíazD
  4. 77J. CuestaF
  5. 21C. CabellosM
  6. 33C. BautistaG
  7. 29H. BarcosF
  8. 96L. AbramD
  9. 11I. ÁvilaF

Coach: R. Mosquera

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.21
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CuscoSporting Cristal
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
65%Overall35%

Last matches

Newest first
Cusco0W 0D 1L · last 1
LSport Huancayo vs Cusco16 Oct 2026 · Primera División2-1
Sporting Cristal0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Sport Huancayo2+46
2Cusco2+13
3Club Deportivo Los Chankas1+13
4FBC Melgar1+13
5Atletico Grau101
6ADT2-11
7UTC Cajamarca1-10
8Sporting Cristal1-20
9Alianza Atletico1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCuscoSporting Cristal
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)10
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Cusco host Sporting Cristal in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Cusco slight favourites, giving Cusco a 49% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 26% for Sporting Cristal. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Cusco have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Peru Primera División
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Venue
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal in?

The match is in the Peru Primera División.

Where are Cusco and Sporting Cristal in the table?

Cusco are 2nd and Sporting Cristal are 8th in the Primera División.

Who will win Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Cusco 49%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal 26%.

Will both teams score in Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera División on Sat 24 Oct

FTSport Huancayo 4-1 Alianza Atletico1 ✓

All football predictions for today