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Chaves vs Vizela prediction

Chaves vs Vizela prediction for the Segunda Liga on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 8
ChavesNo recent gamesVizelaNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 0-1
Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira, Chavez

Match events

ChavesVizela
  1. 27'Goal: Matías Lacava
  2. Yellow card: Leandro Santos do Nascimento43'
  3. 43'Yellow card: Giovani Bamba

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Pedro PelágioOff: Aílson Tavares55'
  2. Substitution: João TeixeiraOff: Gilberto García56'
  3. Yellow card: Andre Rodrigues61'
  4. Substitution: RobertoOff: Aarón Romero69'
  5. Substitution: Andre RodriguesOff: Marcos André Paulino Maia69'
  6. 72'Substitution: Angel BastunovOff: Neto
  7. 72'Substitution: Yassin FortuneOff: Natanael Ntolla
  8. Yellow card: Pedro Pelágio77'
  9. Substitution: Junior Armando MendesOff: Ricardo Alves80'
  10. 83'Yellow card: Antonio Gomis Alemañ
  11. Goal: Junior Armando Mendes85'
  12. Yellow card: Yellow card90+2'
  13. Goal: Goal90+5'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Chaves36%
Fair odds 2.78
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Vizela36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 22Total shots4
  • 12Shots on target2
  • 10Shots off target2
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 6Corners0
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Chaves

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1João ValidoG
  2. 23Léo AlabáD
  3. 34Ricardo AlvesD
  4. 14N. AraújoD
  5. 3Aarón RomeroD
  6. 42Aílson TavaresM
  7. 19Gilberto GarcíaM
  8. 80mohamed fofanaM
  9. 10André RodriguesF
  10. 18Wilson TavaresF
  11. 7R. EsajasD

Substitutes

  1. 99GBF
  2. 27J. MendesF
  3. 17RobertoF
  4. 9Marcos MaiaF
  5. 16D. YearwoodM
  6. 11Pedro PelágioM
  7. 8João TeixeiraM
  8. 2A. HerbertD
  9. 33Tiago SimõesD
  10. 29M. TounkaraD
  11. 88M. GudžulićG
  12. 13I. VázquezD

Coach: Vitor Martins

Vizela

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Antonio GomisG
  2. 77JójóD
  3. 4J. RhynerD
  4. 55A. HristovD
  5. 26L. MinaD
  6. 8A. BastunovM
  7. 6Giovani BambaM
  8. 95A. TraoréM
  9. 24H. MörschelM
  10. 36M. LacavaF
  11. 23Y. FortunéF

Substitutes

  1. 96A. AdamuF
  2. 99A. CarterF
  3. 70C. CañozalesF
  4. 22Lucas AntañónF
  5. 9Manu GarridoF
  6. 31NetoM
  7. 11N. ThioF
  8. 13Luís RochaD
  9. 92Pedro SouzaG
  10. 19A. VulićG
  11. 3jose gonzalezD

Coach: Ronald Ramírez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.28
0.5 goalsOver92.3%Under7.7%
1.5 goalsOver72.5%Under27.5%
2.5 goalsOver47.1%Under52.9%
3.5 goalsOver25.5%Under74.5%
4.5 goalsOver11.7%Under88.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ChavesVizela
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
50%Overall50%

Last matches

Newest first
Chaves0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Vizela0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda Liga table

Segunda Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Chaves1+13
2Torreense1+13
3Vizela1-10
4Amarante1-10
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatChavesVizela
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Chaves host Vizela in the Segunda Liga (Regular Season - 8) at Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira, Chavez, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Chaves narrow favourites, giving Chaves a 36% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 36% for Vizela. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Segunda Liga
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:45 WAT
Venue
Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira, Chavez

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Chaves vs Vizela?

Chaves vs Vizela kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Chaves vs Vizela in?

The match is in the Portugal Segunda Liga.

Where are Chaves and Vizela in the table?

Chaves are 1st and Vizela are 3rd in the Segunda Liga.

Who will win Chaves vs Vizela?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Chaves 36%, draw 28%, Vizela 36%.

Will both teams score in Chaves vs Vizela?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chaves vs Vizela?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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