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Cesena vs Avellino prediction

Cesena vs Avellino prediction for the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 7
CesenaNo recent gamesAvellinoNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Match events

CesenaAvellino
  1. 13'Yellow card: Brando MoruzziFoul
  2. Substitution: Riccardo PaganoOff: Matteo Guidi45'
  3. Red card: Alessandro DiamantiAbusive Language45'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Antonio FioriAssist: Cristian Shpendi51'
  2. 57'Substitution: Luca PalmieroOff: Giacomo Faticanti
  3. 57'Substitution: Martin PalumboOff: L. Di Maggio
  4. Substitution: Antonio FioriOff: Alessandro Debenedetti64'
  5. Substitution: Luca D'AndreaOff: Massimiliano Mangraviti65'
  6. 67'Goal: Armando Izzo
  7. 73'Substitution: Walid CheddiraOff: Andrea Favilli
  8. Substitution: Mihajlo IlicOff: Matteo Piacentini77'
  9. Yellow card: Emil BohinenFoul83'
  10. 84'Substitution: Michele BesaggioOff: Dimitrios Sounas
  11. 84'Substitution: Raffaele RussoOff: Tommaso Biasci
  12. Substitution: Emil BohinenOff: Matteo Francesconi84'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Cesena42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Avellino31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 38%Possession62%
  • 2.17Expected goals (xG)1.48
  • 18Total shots21
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target13
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 11Shots inside the box16
  • 7Corners5
  • 2Offsides1
  • 14Fouls6
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 326Passes535
  • 234Accurate passes431

Line-ups

Cesena

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. SianoG
  2. 15A. CiofiD
  3. 6M. IlićD
  4. 4J. GelliD
  5. 7G. FrabottaD
  6. 25D. BisoliM
  7. 32E. BohinenM
  8. 16L. D'AndreaM
  9. 10R. PaganoM
  10. 80A. FioriM
  11. 9C. ShpendiF

Substitutes

  1. 27M. Dalla VecchiaM
  2. 91A. DebenedettiF
  3. 13L. FerrettiG
  4. 39N. FontanaG
  5. 8M. FrancesconiM
  6. 18M. GuidiM
  7. 23V. MagniD
  8. 24M. MangravitiD
  9. 2M. NattaD
  10. 26M. PiacentiniD
  11. 3A. DavidD
  12. 14X. DruiventakM

Coach: Alessandro Diamanti

Avellino

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 50T. MartinelliG
  2. 4A. IzzoD
  3. 23M. VenturiD
  4. 56P. EnriciD
  5. 2F. MissoriM
  6. 20M. PalumboM
  7. 6L. PalmieroM
  8. 39M. BesaggioM
  9. 27B. MoruzziM
  10. 10R. RussoF
  11. 9W. CheddiraF

Substitutes

  1. 24D. SounasM
  2. 44L. ŠimićD
  3. 22J. SassiG
  4. 3M. SalaD
  5. 7L. PandolfiF
  6. 99A. FavilliF
  7. 30E. AdamoM
  8. 16G. FaticantiM
  9. 8L. Di MaggioM
  10. 5A. Di BitontoD
  11. 77S. Di PaoloF
  12. 14T. BiasciF

Coach: A. Nesta

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.20
0.5 goalsOver93.0%Under7.0%
1.5 goalsOver74.4%Under25.6%
2.5 goalsOver49.7%Under50.3%
3.5 goalsOver27.7%Under72.3%
4.5 goalsOver13.1%Under86.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CesenaAvellino
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Cesena0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Avellino0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
11Cremonese10-112
12Cesena10-312
13Arezzo10-1011
14Virtus Entella10-110
15Carrarese10-410
16Juve Stabia1009
17Vicenza Virtus10-79
18Empoli10-78
19Sampdoria10-88
20Catanzaro10-116
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. ShpendiCesena108
2A. BelottiModena77
3D. JohnsenPalermo96
4D. MosqueraHellas Verona56
5F. RuoccoMantova105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCesenaAvellino
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Cesena host Avellino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 7) at Dino Manuzzi, Cesena, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Cesena slight favourites, giving Cesena a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for Avellino. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie B
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cesena vs Avellino?

Cesena vs Avellino kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cesena vs Avellino in?

The match is in the Italy Serie B.

Where are Cesena and Avellino in the table?

Cesena are 12th and Avellino are 5th in the Serie B.

Who will win Cesena vs Avellino?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Cesena 42%, draw 27%, Avellino 31%.

Will both teams score in Cesena vs Avellino?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cesena vs Avellino?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 18 Oct

FTJuve Stabia 3-0 SudtirolUnder 3.5 ✓FTSampdoria 1-2 Arezzo1X ✗

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