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Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife prediction

Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife prediction for the Segunda División on 19 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
Celta de Vigo IINo recent gamesTenerifeNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 1-0
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo

Match events

Celta de Vigo IITenerife
  1. 10'Yellow card: César Álvarez AbranteFoul
  2. Goal: Alvaro·Marin SesmaAssist: Joel Lopez28'
  3. Yellow card: Enrique Ribes RecajDissent43'
  4. Substitution: Enrique Ribes RecajOff: Alexis Olmedo Vila43'
  5. 45'Substitution: Jesus AlvarezOff: Juanjo Sánchez
  6. 45'Substitution: Mauro PittonOff: A. Krdžalić

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Goal: Nacho Gil
  2. 57'Substitution: Dani FernándezOff: Noel López
  3. Substitution: Pablo Gavián AlonsoOff: Frank Germain Jonathan Miller65'
  4. Substitution: Aldrine KibetOff: Jan Oliveras65'
  5. 66'Substitution: Christian Pierre Louis GomisOff: Jesús De Miguel Alameda
  6. 69'Yellow card: Jorge Moreno San VidalFoul
  7. Yellow card: Frank Germain Jonathan MillerFoul76'
  8. Substitution: Hugo CuencaOff: Mateo Sobral Sabajanes82'
  9. Substitution: Vladimir Henrique SilvaOff: Ángel Arcos82'
  10. 85'Substitution: Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaOff: Enric Gallego
  11. Yellow card: Óscar MarcosDissent90+1'
  12. 90+3'Missed penalty: Nacho Gil

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.28

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Celta de Vigo II38%
Fair odds 2.63
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Tenerife35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.01Expected goals (xG)1.22
  • 14Total shots10
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target6
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box4
  • 4Corners5
  • 0Offsides4
  • 20Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 483Passes383
  • 417Accurate passes305

Line-ups

Celta de Vigo II

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Coke CarrilloG
  2. 3K. RibesD
  3. 6P. MeixusD
  4. 18Joel LópezD
  5. 2P. GavianM
  6. 17H. CuencaM
  7. 16Adrià CapdevilaM
  8. 11Ángel ArcosM
  9. 15A. KibetF
  10. 9A. MarinF
  11. 10O. MarcosF

Substitutes

  1. 31Raúl Chirveches SánchezD
  2. 19A. Davila OutereloF
  3. 25M. GonzalezG
  4. 28Vladimir Henrique SilvaF
  5. 23G. MillerD
  6. 14Jan OliverasD
  7. 21Alexis OlmedoD
  8. 26Jorge Pérez-Lafuente ReyF
  9. 27Noah Rodríguez GuallarM
  10. 29M. SobralD
  11. 13Caio BaroneG

Coach: Fredi

Tenerife

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Dani MartínG
  2. 19César ÁlvarezD
  3. 5Jorge MorenoD
  4. 12A. LandázuriD
  5. 2David RodríguezD
  6. 29Daniel FernándezM
  7. 20M. PittónM
  8. 16Jesús ÁlvarezM
  9. 10Nacho GilM
  10. 17C. GomisF
  11. 18Enric GallegoF

Substitutes

  1. 7M. PečarM
  2. 21Marc MateuD
  3. 11Noel LópezF
  4. 40Gabriel LozanoG
  5. 4José LeónD
  6. 23A. KrdžalićM
  7. 3R. JureškinD
  8. 22G. RanosF
  9. 6JuanjoM
  10. 27N. ViereckD
  11. 9De MiguelF
  12. 15FabricioM

Coach: Álvaro

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.27
0.5 goalsOver92.6%Under7.4%
1.5 goalsOver73.5%Under26.5%
2.5 goalsOver48.4%Under51.6%
3.5 goalsOver26.6%Under73.4%
4.5 goalsOver12.4%Under87.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Celta de Vigo IITenerife
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
52%Overall48%

Last matches

Newest first
Celta de Vigo II0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Tenerife0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria11+1325
3Eibar11+722
4Girona11+1221
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell11+217
11Cordoba11-315
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense11-214
14Las Palmas11-514
15Valladolid11012
16Celta de Vigo II11-512
17Leganes11-912
18Cadiz11010
19FC Andorra11-510
20Real Sociedad II11-88
21AD Ceuta FC11-155
22Albacete11-144
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria117
2Enric GallegoTenerife107
3FuentesMallorca116
4A. MarinCelta de Vigo II116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCelta de Vigo IITenerife
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Celta de Vigo II host Tenerife in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Celta de Vigo II narrow favourites, giving Celta de Vigo II a 38% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 35% for Tenerife. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?

Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife in the table?

Celta de Vigo II are 16th and Tenerife are 12th in the Segunda División.

Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Celta de Vigo II 38%, draw 27%, Tenerife 35%.

Will both teams score in Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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