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TodaysPrediction

Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major prediction

Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major prediction for the FAW Championship on 23 Oct 2026: Caerau (Ely) to win (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Match events

Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
  1. 29'Goal: C. Kinsella

HT 0-1

  1. 75'Goal: T. M. Stokes

Our verdict

1 ✗

Caerau (Ely) to win

Bet365 1.28

70%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Caerau (Ely)70%
Fair odds 1.43
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Llantwit Major12%
Fair odds 8.33

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.41 – 0.92
0.5 goalsOver96.4%Under3.6%
1.5 goalsOver84.5%Under15.5%
2.5 goalsOver64.7%Under35.3%
3.5 goalsOver42.6%Under57.4%
4.5 goalsOver24.3%Under75.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
72%Expected goals28%
85%Overall15%

Last matches

Newest first
Caerau (Ely)0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Llantwit Major0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FAW Championship table

FAW Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Afan Lido1+33
2Trethomas Bluebirds1+23
3Llantwit Major1+23
4Newport City101
5Pontypridd Town101
6Cardiff Draconians1-20
7Caerau (Ely)1-20
8llanelli AFC1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCaerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Caerau (Ely) host Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship (South - 12), with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Caerau (Ely) clear favourites, giving Caerau (Ely) a 70% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 12% for Llantwit Major. Our tip is: Caerau (Ely) to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Wales FAW Championship
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
To be confirmed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major in?

The match is in the Wales FAW Championship.

Where are Caerau (Ely) and Llantwit Major in the table?

Caerau (Ely) are 7th and Llantwit Major are 3rd in the FAW Championship.

Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

Our prediction is Caerau (Ely) to win. Win probabilities: Caerau (Ely) 70%, draw 18%, Llantwit Major 12%.

Will both teams score in Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More FAW Championship on Fri 23 Oct

FTNewport City 4-4 Pontypridd TownX2 ✓FTllanelli AFC 0-3 Afan LidoX2 ✓19:45Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic1FTTrethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Cardiff Draconians1X ✓

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