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TodaysPrediction

Caen vs La Roche VF prediction

Caen vs La Roche VF prediction for the Ligue 3 on 15 Oct 2026: Caen or La Roche VF (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Ligue 3 · Regular Season - 10
CaenNo recent gamesLa Roche VFNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-1
Caen

Match events

CaenLa Roche VF
  1. Yellow card: Z. Bagbema20'
  2. 21'Yellow card: M. Samb
  3. 43'Goal: M. SambAssist: M. Mahop

HT 0-1

  1. Yellow card: L. Carole51'
  2. Substitution: H. SaivetOff: F. Bomo56'
  3. Substitution: I. BotellaOff: K. Portut56'
  4. 57'Substitution: M. VrignonOff: K. Bensoula
  5. Substitution: J. KimbomaOff: M. Hafid64'
  6. Substitution: A. GnanduilletOff: M. Daffot64'
  7. 65'Substitution: A. AraujoOff: D. Bangoura
  8. Substitution: Z. BagbemaOff: I. Aissaoui77'
  9. 82'Substitution: J. BeaulieuOff: E. Gassama
  10. 82'Substitution: H. LamyOff: T. Renaudineau
  11. Goal: M. DaffotAssist: L. Carole83'
  12. Goal: K. Portut88'

Our verdict

12 ✓

Caen or La Roche VF

Bet365 1.22

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Caen41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · La Roche VF34%
Fair odds 2.94

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.46
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.4%Under18.6%
2.5 goalsOver59.7%Under40.3%
3.5 goalsOver37.3%Under62.7%
4.5 goalsOver20.0%Under80.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CaenLa Roche VF
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Caen0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

La Roche VF0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 3 table

Ligue 3 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Caen1+13
2La Roche VF1-10
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCaenLa Roche VF
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Caen host La Roche VF in the Ligue 3 (Regular Season - 10) at Caen, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Caen slight favourites, giving Caen a 41% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 34% for La Roche VF. Our tip is: Caen or La Roche VF.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 3
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Caen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Caen vs La Roche VF?

Caen vs La Roche VF kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Caen vs La Roche VF in?

The match is in the France Ligue 3.

Where are Caen and La Roche VF in the table?

Caen are 1st and La Roche VF are 2nd in the Ligue 3.

Who will win Caen vs La Roche VF?

Our prediction is Caen or La Roche VF. Win probabilities: Caen 41%, draw 25%, La Roche VF 34%.

Will both teams score in Caen vs La Roche VF?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caen vs La Roche VF?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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