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TodaysPrediction

Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk prediction

Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk prediction for the Premier League on 21 Oct 2026: Marsaxlokk to win (59%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
BirzebbugaNo recent gamesMarsaxlokkNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 0-0
Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

Match events

BirzebbugaMarsaxlokk

    HT 0-0

    1. Goal: Alex Bruno48'
    2. 62'Substitution: DodoOff: S. Smajlagic
    3. Yellow card: G. Costa Goncalves64'
    4. 65'Yellow card: N. Muscat
    5. 69'Substitution: N. MuscatOff: L. Caruana
    6. 69'Substitution: J. MinalaOff: D. Simkus
    7. Goal: G. Costa Goncalves70'
    8. Substitution: M. AzzopardiOff: Z. Cassar71'
    9. Substitution: G. Costa GoncalvesOff: S. Tokic79'
    10. 80'Substitution: M. GarciaOff: T. Caruana
    11. Substitution: K. BondinOff: M. Xuereb86'
    12. 90+2'Yellow card: T. Caruana

    Our verdict

    2 ✗

    Marsaxlokk to win

    Bet365 1.53

    59%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

    Expected goals2.8

    Win probability

    1 · Birzebbuga18%
    Fair odds 5.56
    X · Draw23%
    Fair odds 4.35
    2 · Marsaxlokk59%
    Fair odds 1.69

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 0.95 – 1.89
    0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
    1.5 goalsOver77.6%Under22.4%
    2.5 goalsOver54.0%Under46.0%
    3.5 goalsOver31.7%Under68.3%
    4.5 goalsOver15.9%Under84.1%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    BirzebbugaMarsaxlokk
    50%Form50%
    50%Attack50%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    33%Expected goals67%
    23%Overall77%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Birzebbuga0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Marsaxlokk0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Premier League table

    Premier League table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Hibernians2+14
    2Birzebbuga1+23
    3Valletta FC1+23
    4Sliema Wanderers1+13
    5Zabbar St. Patrick203
    6Balzan FC101
    7Birkirkara101
    8Hamrun Spartans101
    9Floriana2-11
    10Mosta2-21
    11Gzira United1-10
    12Marsaxlokk1-20
    See full table ›

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatBirzebbugaMarsaxlokk
    Played00
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)00
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Match preview

    Birzebbuga host Marsaxlokk in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Marsaxlokk favourites, giving Birzebbuga a 18% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 59% for Marsaxlokk. Our tip is: Marsaxlokk to win.

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Malta Premier League
    Date
    Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
    Venue
    Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?

    Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk in?

    The match is in the Malta Premier League.

    Where are Birzebbuga and Marsaxlokk in the table?

    Birzebbuga are 2nd and Marsaxlokk are 12th in the Premier League.

    Who will win Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?

    Our prediction is Marsaxlokk to win. Win probabilities: Birzebbuga 18%, draw 23%, Marsaxlokk 59%.

    Will both teams score in Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?

    We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?

    We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    More Premier League on Wed 21 Oct

    FTHamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC12 ✗FTMosta 0-2 Valletta FC2 ✓FTZabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers12 ✓

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