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TodaysPrediction

Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 prediction

Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 prediction for the Premier League 2 Division One on 19 Oct 2026: Derby County U21 or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Damson Park, Solihull

Match events

Birmingham City U21Derby County U21
  1. 3'Penalty goal: M. Mintus (pen)
  2. Yellow card: L. McCourtie3'
  3. 10'Yellow card: C. Smith
  4. 25'Goal: J. DavidsonAssist: M. Mintus

HT 0-2

  1. Substitution: F. McGreevyOff: F. Hawkeswood46'
  2. 46'Substitution: M. MintusOff: D. Hodges
  3. 46'Substitution: J. DavidsonOff: K. Robinson
  4. Yellow card: A. Da Silva49'
  5. 51'Goal: K. RobinsonAssist: C. Wilson
  6. 53'Goal: C. SmithAssist: Z. Marsh
  7. 54'Substitution: Z. MarshOff: I. Green
  8. Substitution: D. Martin-MooreOff: C. Reilly56'
  9. Substitution: L. McCourtieOff: B. Campbell56'
  10. 62'Yellow card: M. Tola
  11. 64'Substitution: C. WilsonOff: K. Wren
  12. Substitution: A. Da SilvaOff: N. Hoarau71'
  13. 80'Substitution: I. GordonOff: S. Corry

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Derby County U21 or draw

Bet365 1.33

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-4

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Birmingham City U2131%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Derby County U2147%
Fair odds 2.13

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.98
0.5 goalsOver97.2%Under2.8%
1.5 goalsOver87.0%Under13.0%
2.5 goalsOver69.0%Under31.0%
3.5 goalsOver47.6%Under52.4%
4.5 goalsOver28.6%Under71.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Birmingham City U21Derby County U21
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
44%Expected goals56%
40%Overall60%

Last matches

Newest first
Birmingham City U210W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Derby County U210W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier League 2 Division One table

Premier League 2 Division One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Derby County U211+43
2Birmingham City U211-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBirmingham City U21Derby County U21
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Birmingham City U21 host Derby County U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One (Regular Season) at Damson Park, Solihull, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Derby County U21 slight favourites, giving Birmingham City U21 a 31% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 47% for Derby County U21. Our tip is: Derby County U21 or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 and a 69% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League 2 Division One
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Damson Park, Solihull

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 in?

The match is in the England Premier League 2 Division One.

Where are Birmingham City U21 and Derby County U21 in the table?

Birmingham City U21 are 2nd and Derby County U21 are 1st in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Who will win Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Our prediction is Derby County U21 or draw. Win probabilities: Birmingham City U21 31%, draw 22%, Derby County U21 47%.

Will both teams score in Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21?

We estimate a 69% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21?

We estimate a 69% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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