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Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior prediction

Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior prediction for the Thai League 1 on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 5
Ayutthaya FCNo recent gamesLamphun WarriorNo recent games
0 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-0
Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya

Match events

Ayutthaya FCLamphun Warrior
  1. 13'Yellow card: Osarenren OkungbowaFoul
  2. 45'Substitution: Osarenren OkungbowaOff: Athit Stephen Berg
  3. Substitution: Caíque LemesOff: Guntapon Keereeleang45'
  4. Substitution: Chakkit LaptrakulOff: Nattapon Worasut45'
  5. Substitution: Yuki KusanoOff: Lucas Dias do Nascimento Serafim45'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Kerim PalićFoul54'
  2. 61'Substitution: Baworn TaplaOff: Anderson
  3. 62'Goal: Anderson
  4. 75'Own goal: Passakorn Biaothungoi (og)
  5. Substitution: Ewerton da Silva PereiraOff: Pongrawit Jantawong76'
  6. 79'Substitution: Christian IlićOff: Purachet Thodsanid
  7. Substitution: Chukid WanpraphaoOff: Willen Mota79'
  8. 87'Substitution: Nuttee NoiwilaiOff: Luis Machado
  9. 87'Substitution: Suriya SingmuiOff: Wittaya Moonwong

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Ayutthaya FC37%
Fair odds 2.70
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Lamphun Warrior37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 46%Possession54%
  • 0.79Expected goals (xG)1.92
  • 11Total shots15
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target7
  • 4Blocked shots5
  • 7Shots inside the box10
  • 4Corners4
  • 14Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 309Passes365
  • 249Accurate passes295

Line-ups

Ayutthaya FC

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Warut MekmusikG
  2. 23Passakorn BiaothungoiD
  3. 4K. PalićD
  4. 2Hwang Hyun-SooD
  5. 47Bhumchanok KamklaD
  6. 6EwertonM
  7. 10C. KarinM
  8. 25Y. KusanoM
  9. 17C. LaptrakulF
  10. 9Willen MotaF
  11. 97Guntapon KeereeleangF

Substitutes

  1. 29Sanrawat DechmitrM
  2. 5Atsadawut ChangthongD
  3. 7Lucas DiasM
  4. 13S. IngkaewG
  5. 27Pongrawit JantawongM
  6. 15D. KerkezD
  7. 18S. NamphuengM
  8. 21Thananat RungrampanD
  9. 55S. SompimD
  10. 77Caíque LemesF
  11. 19Chukid WanpraphaoF
  12. 8N. WorasutM

Coach: J. Siriwattanasart

Lamphun Warrior

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 20N. MuangngamG
  2. 7D. SchadD
  3. 16Putthinan WannasriD
  4. 23C. CloughD
  5. 33O. OkungbowaD
  6. 30S. SingmuiD
  7. 6C. IlićM
  8. 32B. TaplaM
  9. 5C. TongkiriM
  10. 14Mohammed OsmanM
  11. 11Luis MachadoF

Substitutes

  1. 75P. WannabutrG
  2. 18P. ThodsanitM
  3. 10S. SuriyachaiF
  4. 26K. SuklomG
  5. 82A. SuewF
  6. 96Natapakhan PromthongmeeM
  7. 21N. NoiwilaiD
  8. 2W. MoonwongD
  9. 29T. KhotrsuphoF
  10. 77Abdulrahman Kelani EssadiF
  11. 8A. BergM
  12. 9Anderson ChavesF

Coach: D. Amato

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.38
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.2%Under23.8%
2.5 goalsOver52.1%Under47.9%
3.5 goalsOver29.9%Under70.1%
4.5 goalsOver14.6%Under85.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Ayutthaya FCLamphun Warrior
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
50%Overall50%

Last matches

Newest first
Ayutthaya FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Lamphun Warrior0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Thai League 1 table

Thai League 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lamphun Warrior1+23
2Port FC1+23
3Ayutthaya FC1-20
4Bangkok United1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAyutthaya FCLamphun Warrior
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Ayutthaya FC host Lamphun Warrior in the Thai League 1 (Regular Season - 5) at Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Ayutthaya FC narrow favourites, giving Ayutthaya FC a 37% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 37% for Lamphun Warrior. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Thailand Thai League 1
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior in?

The match is in the Thailand Thai League 1.

Where are Ayutthaya FC and Lamphun Warrior in the table?

Ayutthaya FC are 3rd and Lamphun Warrior are 1st in the Thai League 1.

Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Ayutthaya FC 37%, draw 26%, Lamphun Warrior 37%.

Will both teams score in Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ayutthaya FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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