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TodaysPrediction

Aragua FC vs Caracas FC prediction

Aragua FC vs Caracas FC prediction for the Copa Venezuela on 14 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday14October 2026
Aragua FCNo recent gamesCaracas FCNo recent games
3 - 1Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 1-1

Match events

Aragua FCCaracas FC
  1. 20'Goal: S. Gonzalez
  2. Goal: E. Laya24'
  3. Missed penalty: J. Villafraz45'

HT 1-1

  1. Goal: A. Garcia52'
  2. Goal: J. Chaverra Palacios71'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Fair odds 1.35

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Aragua FC57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Caracas FC19%
Fair odds 5.26

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.73 – 0.89
0.5 goalsOver92.7%Under7.3%
1.5 goalsOver73.6%Under26.4%
2.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
3.5 goalsOver26.8%Under73.2%
4.5 goalsOver12.5%Under87.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Aragua FCCaracas FC
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
Aragua FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Caracas FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Copa Venezuela table

Copa Venezuela table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Club Atletico Barinas1+33
2Aragua FC1+23
3Zamora FC1+23
4Anzoátegui FC1+13
5Monagas SC1+13
6Fundación Lara Deportiva101
7Yaracuyanos FC101
8Rayo Zuliano101
9Trujillanos FC101
10Atletico Avila FC1-10
11Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz1-10
12Atletico el Vigia FC1-20
13Caracas FC1-20
14Real Frontera1-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAragua FCCaracas FC
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Aragua FC host Caracas FC in the Copa Venezuela (Round 1 - Group C), with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Aragua FC favourites, giving Aragua FC a 57% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 19% for Caracas FC. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Venezuela Copa Venezuela
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Venue
To be confirmed

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?

Aragua FC vs Caracas FC kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Aragua FC vs Caracas FC in?

The match is in the Venezuela Copa Venezuela.

Where are Aragua FC and Caracas FC in the table?

Aragua FC are 2nd and Caracas FC are 13th in the Copa Venezuela.

Who will win Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Aragua FC 57%, draw 24%, Caracas FC 19%.

Will both teams score in Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Copa Venezuela on Wed 14 Oct

FTClub Atletico Barinas 3-0 Real FronteraOver 2.5 ✓FTAtletico el Vigia FC 1-3 Zamora FCX2 ✓FTAtletico Avila FC 1-2 Anzoátegui FCOver 1.5 ✓FTYaracuyanos FC 1-1 Fundación Lara DeportivaOver 1.5 ✓FTTrujillanos FC 0-0 Rayo ZulianoOver 1.5 ✗FTMonagas SC 2-1 Dinamo de Puerto La CruzOver 2.5 ✓

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