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America Mineiro vs Operario-PR prediction

America Mineiro vs Operario-PR prediction for the Serie B on 17 Oct 2026: Operario-PR or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta

Match events

America MineiroOperario-PR
  1. Yellow card: Tobias OstchegaFoul19'
  2. 42'Yellow card: Caio DantasArgument
  3. Yellow card: Jorge JiménezArgument42'
  4. 45'Substitution: BrennoOff: Hildeberto Pereira

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Matías SegoviaDissent57'
  2. Yellow card: BarretoFoul60'
  3. 61'Substitution: PedrinhoOff: Dudu
  4. Yellow card: William Arthur AssmannDissent64'
  5. 71'Substitution: Gabriel Feliciano da SilvaOff: Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
  6. 71'Substitution: João Gabriel Rodrigues BotaoOff: Mikael Doka
  7. Substitution: Tobias OstchegaOff: Luidy Montes Carneiro76'
  8. Substitution: Paulo Victor·Ferreira de JesusOff: Fernando Elizari79'
  9. Substitution: Jorge JiménezOff: Felipe80'
  10. 82'Substitution: Juan ZuluagaOff: Aylon
  11. Substitution: Rafael Raul BarcelosOff: Otavio Goncalves82'
  12. Substitution: Marcelo Enrique Maçola FilhoOff: Willian83'
  13. Goal: Guilherme ParedeAssist: Barreto88'
  14. 90+3'Yellow card: AylonFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Operario-PR or draw

Bet365 1.36

71%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · America Mineiro29%
Fair odds 3.45
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Operario-PR44%
Fair odds 2.27

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.62Expected goals (xG)0.50
  • 21Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 8Shots off target8
  • 8Blocked shots0
  • 10Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners4
  • 20Fouls9
  • 5Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 399Passes510
  • 334Accurate passes452

Line-ups

America Mineiro

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 91Bruno BrígidoG
  2. 4Rafael BarcelosD
  3. 45Ricardo SilvaD
  4. 3L. SosaD
  5. 25T. OstchegaD
  6. 93J. JiménezM
  7. 88BarretoM
  8. 20Paulo VictorM
  9. 77M. SegoviaM
  10. 7Guilherme ParedeM
  11. 9WillianF

Substitutes

  1. 19WilliamG
  2. 5F. ElizariM
  3. 55Otavio GoncalvesM
  4. 37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento JulioM
  5. 99Marcelo MacolaF
  6. 27CássioG
  7. 30L. MontesD
  8. 2Emerson SantosD
  9. 26ManoelD
  10. 71Cristian Do Espirito Santo RodriguesD
  11. 8Felipe AmaralM

Coach: Moacir Júnior

Operario-PR

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Elias Martello CurzelG
  2. 2Mikael DokaD
  3. 22J. CuenúD
  4. 43JosephD
  5. 27Gabriel FelicianoD
  6. 8J. ZuluagaM
  7. 5ÍndioM
  8. 14Hildeberto PereiraM
  9. 20Vinícius DinizM
  10. 30Pedro VilhenaM
  11. 99Caio DantasF

Substitutes

  1. 4KlausD
  2. 21BrennoM
  3. 23Joao GabrielD
  4. 17Nicolas SchulzD
  5. 18AndréD
  6. 11AylonF
  7. 33VagnerG
  8. 6MoraesD
  9. 16MirandaD
  10. 88Neto ParaíbaM
  11. 28DuduF

Coach: Alberto Valentim

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.48
0.5 goalsOver92.8%Under7.2%
1.5 goalsOver73.8%Under26.2%
2.5 goalsOver48.9%Under51.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.1%Under72.9%
4.5 goalsOver12.7%Under87.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

America MineiroOperario-PR
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
44%Expected goals56%
40%Overall60%

Last matches

Newest first
America Mineiro0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Operario-PR0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
11Operario-PR36-251
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba36+347
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina36-932
19America Mineiro36-2926
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3PerottiSport Recife3513
4BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
5Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAmerica MineiroOperario-PR
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

America Mineiro host Operario-PR in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) at Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Operario-PR slight favourites, giving America Mineiro a 29% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 44% for Operario-PR. Our tip is: Operario-PR or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

America Mineiro vs Operario-PR kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is America Mineiro vs Operario-PR in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are America Mineiro and Operario-PR in the table?

America Mineiro are 19th and Operario-PR are 11th in the Serie B.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

Our prediction is Operario-PR or draw. Win probabilities: America Mineiro 29%, draw 27%, Operario-PR 44%.

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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