J2 League · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Sagan Tosu- 11'Yellow card: S. Nagasawa
- Goal: M. MoraesAssist: M. Sekiguchi24'
HT 1-0
- 46'Substitution: R. HyonOff: R. Shiohama
- 46'Substitution: S. NagasawaOff: Y. Imazu
- Yellow card: M. Sekiguchi52'
- 63'Substitution: M. YoshidaOff: K. Yoshino
- 63'Substitution: T. TakahashiOff: H. Goto
- Substitution: M. MoraesOff: K. Kuwayama71'
- 75'Substitution: K. YamauchiOff: Park Ho-Min
- Substitution: Y. WakatsukiOff: C. Konagaya77'
- Substitution: T. OsawaOff: K. Kasai77'
- Goal: K. Kuwayama80'
- 83'Goal: H. GotoAssist: K. Abe
- Substitution: K. ShimabukuOff: M. Sato89'
- Substitution: M. SekiguchiOff: M. Fitzgerald89'
Our verdict
Sagan Tosu or draw
Bet365 1.30
✗ This tip lost · final score 2-1
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.38Half time / full time result. 1 = Albirex Niigata, X = draw, 2 = Sagan Tosu.
Asian handicap applied to Albirex Niigata.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstAlbirex Niigata0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Sagan Tosu0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 3 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Iwaki | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 15 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 16 | Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 17 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Albirex Niigata | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Albirex Niigata host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League (Regular Season - 12) at Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sagan Tosu slight favourites, giving Albirex Niigata a 27% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 44% for Sagan Tosu. Our tip is: Sagan Tosu or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J2 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu in?
The match is in the Japan J2 League.
Where are Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu in the table?
Albirex Niigata are 4th and Sagan Tosu are 14th in the J2 League.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
Our prediction is Sagan Tosu or draw. Win probabilities: Albirex Niigata 27%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 44%.
Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
We estimate a 43% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.