Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Match events
NEOM- 28'Yellow card: Mohammed Al-DossariFoul
- 32'Yellow card: Georgios MasourasDissent
- VAR: Joao FelixPenalty confirmedVAR45+3'
- 45+5'Yellow card: Mohammed Al-BuraykDissent
- Missed penalty: Cristiano Ronaldo45+6'
HT 0-0
- 56'Yellow card: Mohannad Abu TahaFoul
- 57'Substitution: Abbas Al HassanOff: Valentín Vada
- 57'Substitution: Khalil Al-AbsiOff: Georgios Masouras
- Goal: Joao FelixAssist: Angelo Borges61'
- Yellow card: Samu CostaFoul63'
- Substitution: Angelo BorgesOff: Abdullah Al-Hamdan72'
- 76'Substitution: Mohammed Al-DossariOff: Haroune Camara
- 76'Substitution: Khalifah Al-DawsariOff: Mohannad Abu Taha
- 77'Substitution: Abdulmalik Al-OyayariOff: Faisal Al-Ghamdi
- Substitution: Awad AmanOff: Ayman Yahya81'
- Substitution: Joao FelixOff: Sami Al-Najei90+1'
- Substitution: Sadio ManéOff: Saad Haqawi90+1'
Our verdict
Al-Nassr to win
Bet365 1.42
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 58%Possession42%
- 2.37Expected goals (xG)0.45
- 17Total shots7
- 2Shots on target1
- 12Shots off target5
- 3Blocked shots1
- 12Shots inside the box4
- 3Corners1
- 3Offsides4
- 14Fouls18
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves1
- 477Passes343
- 390Accurate passes256
Line-ups
Al-Nassr
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24BentoG
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 23Ayman YahyaD
- 11Samú CostaM
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 20ÂngeloM
- 79João FélixM
- 10S. ManéM
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
Substitutes
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 22Abdulhadi Al AlwanG
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 70Awad AmanD
- 60Saad HaqawiF
- 50Majed QasheeshD
- 46Yassine Gays Munsif Sallem
- 8Hayder AbdulkareemM
Coach: A. Postecoglou
NEOM
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 5M. SarrD
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 6A. Al HassanM
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiF
- 91A. LacazetteF
- 10S. BenrahmaF
Substitutes
- 23V. VadaM
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 75Khalid Al RammahD
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 33Abdulrahman DagririG
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 7G. MasourasF
Coach: C. Galtier
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.07 – 1.04Half time / full time result. 1 = Al-Nassr, X = draw, 2 = NEOM.
Asian handicap applied to Al-Nassr.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSaudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | DWWLW |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 | WLWDD |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 15 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 12 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 3 | DLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 13 |
| 2 |  T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 |
| 3 |  Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr | 10 | 8 |
| 4 |  Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 |
| 5 |  M. ReteguiAl-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Al-Nassr | NEOM |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Al-Nassr host NEOM in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 10) at King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Al-Nassr favourites, giving Al-Nassr a 61% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 18% for NEOM. Our tip is: Al-Nassr to win.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Venue
- King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Al-Nassr vs NEOM kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Al-Nassr vs NEOM in?
The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.
Where are Al-Nassr and NEOM in the table?
Al-Nassr are 2nd and NEOM are 5th in the Saudi Pro League.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Our prediction is Al-Nassr to win. Win probabilities: Al-Nassr 61%, draw 21%, NEOM 18%.
Will both teams score in Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.