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Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction

Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction for the Pro League on 16 Oct 2026: Dubai United or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Pro League · Regular Season - 6
Al-DhafraNo recent gamesDubai UnitedNo recent games
5 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 2-1
Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Ancient Zayed City

Match events

Al-DhafraDubai United
  1. 32'Yellow card: Othman RamadanFoul
  2. VAR: Sory KabaPenalty confirmedVAR33'
  3. Penalty goal: Dominique Mendy (pen)33'
  4. 38'VARVAR: A. KarimiPenalty confirmed
  5. 40'Penalty goal: Willy Semedo (pen)
  6. Goal: Sory KabaAssist: Samir De Souza41'
  7. 45'Substitution: Hussain Abbas JumaOff: Pape Guèye
  8. 45'Substitution: Moustapha NameOff: Mahmoud Dahoud

HT 2-1

  1. Goal: Sory KabaAssist: Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Alhammadi48'
  2. Yellow card: Ezeckiel NoumonviFoul56'
  3. 56'Substitution: Haris SeferovićOff: Jonas Naafo
  4. Substitution: Khaled BawazirOff: Marcelinho62'
  5. Goal: Daraman KomariAssist: Sory Kaba68'
  6. 72'Substitution: Cedrick Steve Nana DjeunouOff: Willy Semedo
  7. Substitution: Sory KabaOff: Karim El Berkaoui82'
  8. Substitution: Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed AlhammadiOff: Arielson Sampaio·Galvao82'
  9. Goal: Arielson Sampaio·GalvaoAssist: Ezeckiel Noumonvi90+1'
  10. Substitution: Ezeckiel NoumonviOff: Vinicius Lima Serafim90+4'
  11. Substitution: Mohamed El KhalouiOff: Adem Ben Fajria90+4'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Dubai United or draw

Bet365 1.44

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 5-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Al-Dhafra35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Dubai United39%
Fair odds 2.56

Match statistics

  • 28%Possession72%
  • 2.10Expected goals (xG)2.53
  • 11Total shots19
  • 8Shots on target8
  • 2Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box15
  • 3Corners10
  • 1Offsides0
  • 3Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Goalkeeper saves3
  • 224Passes569
  • 156Accurate passes513

Line-ups

Al-Dhafra

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 44A. Al SayedG
  2. 15Abdullah Al KarbiD
  3. 3D. KoumareD
  4. 33SamirD
  5. 6E. NoumonviD
  6. 16M. AlhammadiM
  7. 88D. MendyM
  8. 21R. DjoohM
  9. 11M. El KhalouiM
  10. 14Khalid BawazirF
  11. 9S. KabaF

Substitutes

  1. 7MarcelinhoF
  2. 8Z. MohammedM
  3. 20L. AmesimekuD
  4. 22Rayan YaslamM
  5. 1Mazin Saleh ZayidG
  6. 5Mansor Al HarbiM
  7. 17Eisa HoutiG
  8. 77A. Ben FajriaD
  9. 95Karim El BerkaouiF
  10. 80RodriguinhoF
  11. 4SerafimD
  12. 99ArielsonF

Coach: P. Carteron

Dubai United

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 26S. LekovićG
  2. 19Hamid YahyaD
  3. 15A. PuricD
  4. 3O. JamalD
  5. 52Hussain AbbasD
  6. 25M. NameM
  7. 80S. BabickaM
  8. 5A. KarimiM
  9. 23Jonas NaafoM
  10. 10Willy SemedoM
  11. 49E. MaouhoubF

Substitutes

  1. 81M. DahoudM
  2. 88Habib Al FardanM
  3. 22Mohammed Yousuf GhulamM
  4. 7Pape GuèyeF
  5. 8Baidi DiakiteM
  6. 6Majid SurourD
  7. 29C. NanaD
  8. 13Inayat NoorG
  9. 9H. SeferovićF
  10. 73M. MoraesD
  11. 44Khalid AliD
  12. 77Bandar Al AhbabiM

Coach: A. Pirlo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.51
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-DhafraDubai United
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
47%Overall53%

Last matches

Newest first
Al-Dhafra0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Dubai United0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Pro League table

Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Dhafra1+43
2Al-Wasl FC1+23
3Baniyas SC1-20
4Dubai United1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-DhafraDubai United
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Al-Dhafra host Dubai United in the Pro League (Regular Season - 6) at Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Ancient Zayed City, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 14:05 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Dubai United narrow favourites, giving Al-Dhafra a 35% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 39% for Dubai United. Our tip is: Dubai United or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
United Arab Emirates Pro League
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 14:05 WAT
Venue
Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Ancient Zayed City

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United?

Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 14:05 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United in?

The match is in the United Arab Emirates Pro League.

Where are Al-Dhafra and Dubai United in the table?

Al-Dhafra are 1st and Dubai United are 4th in the Pro League.

Who will win Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United?

Our prediction is Dubai United or draw. Win probabilities: Al-Dhafra 35%, draw 26%, Dubai United 39%.

Will both teams score in Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Pro League on Fri 16 Oct

FTBaniyas SC 0-2 Al-Wasl FC2 ✓

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